Signals & Intelligence
HL Vaults provides two layers of vault intelligence: deterministic signals (computed from on-chain data with no AI) and AI-powered analysis (LLM-generated insights when you configure a provider).
Both layers are ★ Pro features.
Deterministic Signals★ Pro
These signals are computed entirely from on-chain data. No AI, no configuration needed — they work immediately for every vault once you’re on the Pro plan.
Each signal is presented as a card with a rating (Low / Medium / High / Extreme) and a plain-English explanation.
Style Fingerprint★ Pro
Analyzes the vault’s trading patterns to classify their style:
- Scalper: Many small trades, short hold times
- Swing Trader: Medium-duration positions, trend-following
- Position Trader: Few large positions, long hold times
- Market Maker: Tight bid-ask, high frequency
The fingerprint also shows how consistent the vault is with their declared style.
Leverage Profile★ Pro
The vault’s typical and current leverage usage, categorized as:
- Conservative: Typically under 1.5x
- Moderate: 1.5x to 3x
- Aggressive: 3x to 5x
- Extreme: Over 5x
Shows how the current leverage compares to the vault’s historical average. A vault that normally runs 1.5x but is currently at 4x is behaving unusually.
Drawdown Recovery★ Pro
Analyzes how the vault has recovered from past drawdowns:
- Time to recover from each significant drawdown
- Average recovery speed
- Whether the vault tends to recover fully or partially
A vault that recovers quickly from drawdowns is less risky than one that stays in drawdown for months.
Depositor Concentration★ Pro
Measures how diversified the depositor base is:
- Well Distributed: No single depositor dominates
- Moderately Concentrated: Top depositor holds significant share
- Highly Concentrated: One or two depositors control most capital
High concentration is risky — if the top depositor withdraws, it could destabilize the vault.
Trading Velocity★ Pro
How frequently the vault trades:
- High Velocity: Many trades per day
- Medium Velocity: Several trades per week
- Low Velocity: Few trades per month
High velocity generates more fees but may indicate active management. Low velocity suggests a “set and forget” approach.
Cross-Vault Correlations★ Pro
Compares this vault’s returns to other vaults. High correlation means two vaults move together (similar strategies or market exposure). Low correlation means they’re independent.
This is useful for diversification — if you’re invested in two highly correlated vaults, you’re not as diversified as you think.
AI-Powered Analysis★ Pro
For deeper insights, you can connect an LLM provider (OpenAI, Anthropic, or any OpenAI-compatible API). The AI generates three types of analysis:
Personality Dossier★ Pro
An LLM-generated profile of the vault leader’s trading personality. It analyzes:
- Decision-making patterns (aggressive vs. conservative)
- Risk management behavior
- Behavioral biases (overconfidence, loss aversion, etc.)
- Consistency and discipline
Think of this as a “trader psych profile” — it helps you understand the person behind the strategy.
Return Forecast★ Pro
The AI analyzes the vault’s historical performance, current market conditions, and trading patterns to generate:
- Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks)
- Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months)
- Key risks that could affect performance
Important: Forecasts are speculative. They are based on pattern recognition, not guaranteed predictions.
Red Flag Detection★ Pro
The AI scans for potential warning signs:
- Unusual trading behavior compared to historical patterns
- Sudden changes in leverage, position sizing, or strategy
- Concentrated positions in volatile assets
- Behavior that has preceded losses in the past
Red flags are early warnings, not definitive judgments. They help you decide which vaults to investigate further.
Setting up AI★ Pro
To use AI-powered analysis:
- Go to Settings → AI
- Choose your provider (OpenAI, Anthropic, or custom API)
- Enter your API key
- Click “Test Connection” to verify
Once configured, AI analysis becomes available on every vault detail page.
Related
Section titled “Related”- Column Reference — understand the metrics behind the signals
- Performance Metrics — LP and DP grades in depth